Genoa vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
GEN
4 - 1
LAZ
17%
23%
59%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
GEN
0 - 1
MLL
43%
26%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GEN
0 - 1
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 0
GEN
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 1
JUV
11%
20%
68%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 0
SIE
89%
9%
3%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
NUO
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PIS
1 - 0
BEN
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
PIS
56%
21%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 1
BEN
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |