Serie A Round 13

Genoa vs Cesena analysis

Genoa Cesena
78 ELO 75
-16.9% Tilt -29.2%
63º General ELO ranking 396º
13º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
49%
Genoa
28.9%
Draw
22.1%
Cesena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
Genoa
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
22.1%
Win probability
Cesena
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Genoa
+3%
+4%
Cesena

ELO progression

Genoa
Cesena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Genoa
Genoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 1990
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 1
Genoa
GEN
59%
25%
16%
77 78 1 0
02 Dec. 1990
GEN
Genoa
2 - 1
Parma
PAR
46%
29%
25%
77 76 1 0
25 Nov. 1990
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 2
Genoa
GEN
81%
14%
5%
76 90 14 +1
21 Nov. 1990
GEN
Genoa
1 - 1
Roma
ROM
29%
30%
41%
75 86 11 +1
18 Nov. 1990
GEN
Genoa
0 - 0
Torino
TOR
31%
30%
39%
75 82 7 0

Matches

Cesena
Cesena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 1990
CES
Cesena
1 - 5
Inter
INT
17%
26%
57%
76 90 14 0
02 Dec. 1990
PIS
Pisa SC
3 - 2
Cesena
CES
52%
28%
21%
76 77 1 0
25 Nov. 1990
CES
Cesena
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
51%
28%
21%
76 78 2 0
18 Nov. 1990
LEC
Lecce
2 - 0
Cesena
CES
49%
29%
22%
76 76 0 0
11 Nov. 1990
ROM
Roma
4 - 1
Cesena
CES
74%
18%
9%
76 86 10 0