Genk vs Lierse SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 2
GNK
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
GNK
2 - 1
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GNK
1 - 0
KVM
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
GNK
3 - 1
TUB
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
WAA
0 - 0
GNK
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LIE
2 - 1
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AND
2 - 0
LIE
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
LOM
2 - 3
LIE
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LIE
2 - 0
KVK
36%
30%
34%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BRU
4 - 1
LIE
78%
15%
6%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |