UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 3-2
Genk vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
GNK
1 - 0
SDL
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 0
GNK
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
GNK
1 - 1
SDL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 3
GNK
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
BRU
3 - 0
GNK
48%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
SHK
0 - 1
PAR
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 0
SHK
81%
13%
7%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 2
PAR
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
PAR
14%
23%
63%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 0
ČUK
89%
8%
2%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |