General Velásquez vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
IBE
1 - 1
GVE
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GVE
1 - 1
DSC
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CHG
0 - 1
GVE
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GVE
3 - 0
CAU
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DSC
2 - 1
GVE
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NUB
2 - 3
MAG
40%
27%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MAG
1 - 1
PUE
43%
27%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MAG
1 - 2
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DLS
1 - 1
MAG
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MAG
0 - 0
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |