General Díaz vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 1
GEN
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CCP
2 - 4
GEN
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 3
AME
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
LQE
0 - 5
GEN
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 3
GUA
16%
24%
60%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 5
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 2
SPO
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 0
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |