General Díaz vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
BSC
0 - 0
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
IND
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 1
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
DEP
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
GEN
5 - 2
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAN
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
MIN
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
IND
0 - 3
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |