Europa League . 1/16
Global 4-0
Gençlerbirliği SK vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gençlerbirliği SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
KON
4 - 1
GEN
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 1
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 0
BUR
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 2
GAL
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 0
DEN
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 4
ROM
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 1
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAR
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 2
PAR
21%
26%
53%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 3
LAZ
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |