Gelbison vs Noto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ACI
0 - 2
GEL
22%
26%
52%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 0
NIS
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
RAG
0 - 0
GEL
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GEL
0 - 2
NUO
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MES
0 - 0
GEL
68%
20%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 0
USV
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 1
NOT
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
5 - 0
COM
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
NOT
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
3 - 3
CIT
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |