Gelbison vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
GEL
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 0
GEL
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 0
GLA
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 1
GEL
43%
26%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
GEL
0 - 1
PUT
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MON
4 - 0
GLA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 2
MON
20%
25%
55%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
PUT
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SSE
1 - 2
MON
20%
23%
58%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MON
3 - 2
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |