Gelbison vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GLA
1 - 1
GEL
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 1
GRO
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PUT
1 - 3
GEL
38%
26%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 0
SSE
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 2
GEL
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 0
SSM
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GLA
1 - 4
FRA
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 2
HYR
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
FRA
18%
25%
58%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
ARM
71%
16%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |