Gelbison vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NIS
2 - 0
GEL
27%
26%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 1
RAG
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NUO
1 - 2
GEL
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 0
MES
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LIC
1 - 0
GEL
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ACI
0 - 1
USV
47%
28%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 0
ACI
59%
23%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ACI
0 - 1
COM
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
COM
3 - 0
ACI
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ACI
2 - 1
CIT
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |