Gela vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
41.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
GEL
71%
18%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GEL
1 - 0
SIR
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NUO
2 - 0
GEL
67%
20%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 1
GEL
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
GEL
0 - 0
JUS
21%
28%
51%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TER
3 - 2
USF
27%
27%
47%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
JUS
2 - 0
TER
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TER
3 - 2
FCV
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TER
0 - 0
VIR
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |