Gela vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NUO
2 - 0
GEL
67%
20%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 1
GEL
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
GEL
0 - 0
JUS
21%
28%
51%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
USF
2 - 2
GEL
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GEL
0 - 0
FOL
15%
21%
64%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 0
USF
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 0
SIR
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SIR
2 - 1
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SSB
1 - 0
SIR
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 0
CAV
36%
29%
36%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |