Gela vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
69.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 3
GEL
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
GEL
1 - 0
USF
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 2
GEL
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
GEL
1 - 0
FRO
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ACI
0 - 0
GEL
54%
26%
21%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
PRG
1 - 1
GRO
76%
18%
6%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
PRG
1 - 1
PIS
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2005 |
FRO
4 - 1
PRG
18%
25%
58%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PRG
2 - 1
ACS
79%
16%
5%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
PIS
1 - 1
PRG
13%
24%
64%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |