Gela vs Sancataldese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
REN
2 - 1
GEL
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 1
GEL
25%
22%
54%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 3
SIC
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 0
TUR
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
GEL
26%
21%
52%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
PPI
71%
16%
12%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
POM
3 - 0
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
DTO
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SIC
4 - 2
SAN
81%
14%
6%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
GEL
26%
21%
52%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |