Gefle vs Varbergs BoIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
IFK
2 - 2
GEF
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GEF
2 - 1
GAI
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
GEF
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GEF
0 - 1
ATV
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 1
GEF
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 3
OIF
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 1
VAR
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
GEF
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
OIF
5 - 2
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
VAR
4 - 0
DEG
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |