Gefle vs Sollentuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
15º
11º
18
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 58 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 57 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 54 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 52 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 47 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29.5% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 1
KAL
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 2
GEF
59%
21%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
2 - 1
GEF
27%
24%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
IFF
1 - 0
GEF
10%
15%
75%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 1
ASS
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sollentuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SOL
0 - 0
ENK
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
KAL
1 - 2
SOL
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ASS
0 - 0
SOL
48%
22%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
ASS
2 - 0
SOL
38%
22%
40%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SOL
3 - 2
IFS
44%
22%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |