Geestemünde vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
7º
6º
24
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
VAT
1 - 6
GEE
24%
20%
56%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
1 - 3
OBE
25%
19%
55%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
0 - 1
OSC
40%
21%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WER
1 - 2
GEE
8%
12%
80%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 2
GEE
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 3
OBE
6%
11%
83%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
TKA
3 - 3
LEH
30%
22%
48%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SGA
6 - 3
TKA
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 1
BTN
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 0
TKA
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |