GE Bagé vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ECS
1 - 0
GEB
71%
20%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
ECA
0 - 0
GEB
49%
26%
26%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GEB
1 - 3
SAO
39%
28%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LAJ
0 - 0
GEB
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
GEB
1 - 2
IPA
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
6 - 1
SSR
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SGA
4 - 1
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
ISM
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LAJ
1 - 0
SAN
60%
23%
18%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
PEL
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |