Fontinhas vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
12º
10º
34
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 2
GDF
74%
18%
8%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
AMO
28%
27%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
6 - 0
GDF
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
REA
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 0
GDF
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
OLI
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
0 - 1
UDL
28%
25%
48%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AMO
2 - 1
SCP
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCP
0 - 1
BEL
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
SCP
29%
26%
46%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |