Gazovik Vitebsk vs Niva Tolochin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
3º
1º
24
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 47 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
76.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 14 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazovik Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SEN
2 - 2
GAV
16%
20%
64%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GAV
2 - 2
MIO
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FKP
0 - 1
GAV
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GAV
3 - 0
FKL
88%
8%
3%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GAV
9 - 0
POL
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Niva Tolochin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
NIT
6 - 1
POL
29%
19%
52%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FKG
7 - 0
NIT
48%
21%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NIT
0 - 3
GOL
27%
20%
53%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DYO
6 - 2
NIT
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 6
NIT
35%
21%
45%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |