Coupe de France 1/16

Gazélec Ajaccio vs Guingamp analysis

Gazélec Ajaccio Guingamp
74 ELO 76
-6.1% Tilt -8.8%
18516º General ELO ranking 612º
410º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
39.6%
Gazélec Ajaccio
27.1%
Draw
33.3%
Guingamp

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
Gazélec Ajaccio
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.2%
Win probability
Guingamp
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Gazélec Ajaccio
Guingamp
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gazélec Ajaccio
Gazélec Ajaccio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jan. 2016
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
2 - 2
Stade de Reims
REI
43%
27%
29%
73 72 1 0
09 Jan. 2016
MON
Monaco
2 - 2
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
63%
23%
14%
73 84 11 0
02 Jan. 2016
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
2 - 0
Sainte-Marienne
MAR
83%
14%
3%
72 30 42 +1
20 Dec. 2015
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
2 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
18%
24%
58%
72 85 13 0
13 Dec. 2015
MAR
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
73%
18%
9%
71 83 12 +1

Matches

Guingamp
Guingamp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jan. 2016
GUI
Guingamp
2 - 2
Nantes
NAN
48%
27%
25%
77 79 2 0
13 Jan. 2016
GUI
Guingamp
0 - 0
Lille
LIL
42%
27%
31%
77 82 5 0
10 Jan. 2016
MAR
Olympique Marseille
0 - 0
Guingamp
GUI
65%
21%
15%
77 83 6 0
03 Jan. 2016
CHA
Chantilly
0 - 4
Guingamp
GUI
5%
13%
81%
77 27 50 0
19 Dec. 2015
GUI
Guingamp
0 - 2
Stade Rennais
REN
41%
27%
33%
77 80 3 0