National round 2

Gazélec Ajaccio vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis

Gazélec Ajaccio Fréjus St-Raphaël
63 ELO 65
-11% Tilt 1%
18357º General ELO ranking 3856º
410º Country ELO ranking 82º
ELO win probability
36.4%
Gazélec Ajaccio
27.6%
Draw
36.1%
Fréjus St-Raphaël

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
Gazélec Ajaccio
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.1%
Win probability
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Gazélec Ajaccio
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gazélec Ajaccio
Gazélec Ajaccio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2013
CAR
Carquefou
1 - 2
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
51%
25%
24%
61 64 3 0
06 Aug. 2013
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
2 - 2
Troyes
TRO
21%
24%
55%
59 76 17 +2
24 May. 2013
CAE
Caen
2 - 1
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
70%
20%
10%
60 76 16 -1
17 May. 2013
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
0 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
20%
27%
53%
60 74 14 0
10 May. 2013
STL
Stade Lavallois
1 - 2
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
57%
23%
20%
59 62 3 +1

Matches

Fréjus St-Raphaël
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2013
UZE
Uzès Pont du Gard
1 - 0
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
26%
27%
47%
65 58 7 0
24 May. 2013
RED
Red Star
2 - 1
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
26%
28%
46%
65 57 8 0
17 May. 2013
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
3 - 1
Colmar
COL
53%
24%
23%
64 61 3 +1
11 May. 2013
BOU
Bourg-Péronnas
0 - 1
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
24%
26%
49%
64 54 10 0
04 May. 2013
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1 - 1
Carquefou
CAR
54%
25%
21%
64 62 2 0