Gauthiod vs Vänersborgs FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
14º
9º
29
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gauthiod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
GAU
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
GAU
0 - 1
FBK
67%
16%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LID
1 - 2
GAU
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GAU
1 - 2
YIK
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
GAU
0 - 1
STE
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vänersborgs FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
VFK
0 - 0
STE
23%
22%
56%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BKF
4 - 1
VFK
77%
14%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
VFK
1 - 3
NOR
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 1
VFK
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
VFK
2 - 3
SKS
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |