Gaúcho vs Nova Prata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
GAU
50%
25%
26%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
BOR
1 - 0
GAU
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
GAU
7 - 0
SCA
79%
13%
7%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
GAU
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
FOZ
1 - 0
GAU
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Prata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 2
SCA
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 2
SAN
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BOR
3 - 1
NOV
28%
22%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
GAU
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 0
NOV
21%
20%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -2 |