National League Round 24

Gateshead vs Hartlepool United analysis

Gateshead Hartlepool United
59 ELO 54
14.6% Tilt 21.2%
4290º General ELO ranking 4291º
120º Country ELO ranking 121º
ELO win probability
55%
Gateshead
21.8%
Draw
23.2%
Hartlepool United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
Gateshead
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.2%
Win probability
Hartlepool United
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gateshead
-12%
+17%
Hartlepool United

Points and table prediction

Gateshead
Their league position
Hartlepool United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
60
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barnet
102
102
100%
York City
96
96
100%
Forest Green Rovers
83
83
100%
Rochdale
74
74
100%
Oldham Athletic AFC
73
73
100%
FC Halifax Town
70
70
100%
Southend United
68
68
100%
Gateshead
67
67
100%
Altrincham
64
64
100%
Tamworth
10º
64
64
10º
100%
Hartlepool United
11º
60
60
11º
0%
Sutton United
12º
60
60
12º
0%
Eastleigh
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Solihull Moors
14º
58
58
14º
100%
Woking
15º
58
58
15º
100%
Aldershot Town
16º
57
57
16º
100%
Braintree Town
17º
56
56
17º
100%
Yeovil Town
18º
56
56
18º
100%
Boston United
19º
55
55
19º
100%
Wealdstone
20º
53
53
20º
100%
Dagenham & Redbridge
21º
52
52
21º
0%
Maidenhead United
22º
52
52
22º
0%
Fylde
23º
40
40
23º
100%
Ebbsfleet United
24º
22
22
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gateshead
Hartlepool United
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gateshead
Hartlepool United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gateshead
Gateshead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2024
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
1 - 4
Gateshead
GAT
12%
19%
69%
59 42 17 0
17 Dec. 2024
GAT
Gateshead
8 - 1
Farsley Celtic
FAR
81%
13%
6%
59 39 20 0
14 Dec. 2024
GAT
Gateshead
4 - 0
Woking
WOK
70%
19%
12%
58 49 9 +1
30 Nov. 2024
BRA
Braintree Town
2 - 2
Gateshead
GAT
20%
23%
57%
58 51 7 0
26 Nov. 2024
GAT
Gateshead
0 - 1
Rochdale
ROC
55%
23%
21%
59 56 3 -1

Matches

Hartlepool United
Hartlepool United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2024
HAR
Hartlepool United
2 - 1
Yeovil Town
YEO
40%
27%
33%
54 55 1 0
14 Dec. 2024
SOU
Southend United
0 - 0
Hartlepool United
HAR
46%
24%
30%
54 57 3 0
10 Dec. 2024
HAR
Hartlepool United
1 - 1
Tamworth
TAM
35%
25%
40%
54 56 2 0
30 Nov. 2024
HAR
Hartlepool United
0 - 0
Barnet
BAR
22%
23%
55%
54 62 8 0
26 Nov. 2024
HAR
Hartlepool United
2 - 0
Fylde
FYL
51%
24%
25%
53 49 4 +1