Gateshead vs Burscough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
HYD
2 - 5
GAT
33%
24%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
GAT
1 - 1
SOU
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
WOR
4 - 2
GAT
28%
26%
47%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
VAU
1 - 2
GAT
17%
22%
62%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
GAT
0 - 1
RFC
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Burscough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 2
TOW
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
FLE
3 - 1
BUR
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 2
AFC
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HIN
0 - 1
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 2
GAI
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |