Gares vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
GAR
56%
23%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GAR
3 - 3
JUA
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
INF
0 - 0
GAR
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 2
BET
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 2
CDB
49%
25%
26%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ALU
1 - 1
AOI
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CDI
1 - 3
ALU
42%
22%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALU
1 - 0
AZK
54%
23%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ABL
0 - 1
ALU
18%
19%
63%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALU
0 - 0
LAG
37%
26%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |