Gareji vs Spaeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
9º
1º
15
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
19 | 65 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 61 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 59 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 59 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 50 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 46 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 44 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 27 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
42% | 4% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
39% | 20% |
|
Mid-table
|
18% | 44% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
0 - 1
ADU
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAB
5 - 2
GAR
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 2
SFC
69%
16%
14%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 3
GAR
29%
21%
50%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 3
GAR
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
LOK
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
TEL
4 - 0
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 1
TEL
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 1
SIO
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 5
SPA
11%
18%
70%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |