Gareji vs Gagra II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+233%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
GAR
5 - 0
SHA
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
BAK
0 - 3
GAR
9%
15%
76%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
TSK
9 - 0
GAR
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
VOY
2 - 0
GAR
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
GAR
0 - 2
KOL
74%
17%
10%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
AMI
0 - 7
GAG
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
GAG
3 - 1
WIT
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
GAR
0 - 0
GAG
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
GAG
1 - 1
NOR
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
APK
1 - 9
GAG
12%
16%
72%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | +1 |