Gandzasar II vs Ararat II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gandzasar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
6 - 0
GAN
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
GAN
1 - 4
PYU
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
MIK
2 - 0
GAN
45%
22%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
GAN
3 - 2
ULI
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
ALA
3 - 0
GAN
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 1
SHI
70%
18%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 4
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 1
ARA
62%
21%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
PYU
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
MIK
2 - 0
ARA
22%
22%
57%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |