Gambia vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
GMB
1 - 1
MLI
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
MRT
0 - 1
GMB
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NZL
2 - 0
GMB
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
GMB
2 - 1
SSD
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
7 - 2
GMB
80%
15%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 0
MRT
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLI
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TUN
0 - 2
DZA
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 0
EGY
32%
26%
43%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
TUN
2 - 1
OMN
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |