AFCON Qualifying Group G Round 6

Gambia vs Congo analysis

Gambia Congo
67 ELO 63
-19.1% Tilt -11.1%
2295º General ELO ranking 3150º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.2%
Gambia
27%
Draw
25.8%
Congo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
Gambia
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.8%
Win probability
Congo
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gambia
-9%
-19%
Congo

ELO progression

Gambia
Congo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gambia
Gambia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2023
SSD
South Sudan
2 - 3
Gambia
GAM
13%
20%
68%
67 48 19 0
28 Mar. 2023
GAM
Gambia
1 - 0
Mali
MLI
19%
25%
55%
66 80 14 +1
24 Mar. 2023
MLI
Mali
2 - 0
Gambia
GAM
66%
21%
14%
67 79 12 -1
20 Nov. 2022
GNB
Guinea-Bissau
0 - 0
Gambia
GAM
22%
22%
56%
67 57 10 0
26 Jul. 2022
GNB
Guinea-Bissau
1 - 0
Gambia
GAM
22%
22%
56%
67 57 10 0

Matches

Congo
Congo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jun. 2023
CGO
Congo
0 - 2
Mali
MLI
18%
26%
56%
64 79 15 0
27 Mar. 2023
SSD
South Sudan
0 - 1
Congo
CGO
18%
21%
61%
64 48 16 0
23 Mar. 2023
CGO
Congo
1 - 2
South Sudan
SSD
65%
20%
15%
64 47 17 0
20 Jan. 2023
CGO
Congo
0 - 0
Niger
NIG
59%
24%
18%
64 56 8 0
16 Jan. 2023
CMR
Cameroon
1 - 0
Congo
CGO
69%
21%
11%
65 82 17 -1