J1 League Round 30

Gamba Osaka vs Sagan Tosu analysis

Gamba Osaka Sagan Tosu
81 ELO 75
2.3% Tilt 10.8%
407º General ELO ranking 733º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
63.3%
Gamba Osaka
21.8%
Draw
14.9%
Sagan Tosu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
Gamba Osaka
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.9%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gamba Osaka
-6%
-3%
Sagan Tosu

ELO progression

Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2020
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
5 - 0
Gamba Osaka
GAM
50%
23%
27%
82 83 1 0
22 Nov. 2020
URA
Urawa Reds
1 - 2
Gamba Osaka
GAM
37%
25%
38%
81 79 2 +1
14 Nov. 2020
GAM
Gamba Osaka
0 - 4
Vegalta Sendai
VEG
70%
19%
11%
82 69 13 -1
11 Nov. 2020
GAM
Gamba Osaka
1 - 0
Vissel Kobe
VIS
52%
23%
25%
82 79 3 0
03 Nov. 2020
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 1
Gamba Osaka
GAM
39%
26%
35%
82 83 1 0

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2020
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 1
Vegalta Sendai
VEG
53%
25%
22%
75 70 5 0
21 Nov. 2020
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 2
Sagan Tosu
SAG
68%
19%
13%
74 80 6 +1
14 Nov. 2020
CON
Consadole Sapporo
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
61%
22%
17%
74 79 5 0
08 Nov. 2020
VEG
Vegalta Sendai
0 - 3
Sagan Tosu
SAG
45%
27%
28%
73 69 4 +1
03 Nov. 2020
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 0
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
32%
26%
42%
73 78 5 0