SD Gama vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
27.6%
58.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
20.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.9%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
NOJ
9 - 0
GAM
88%
10%
3%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
GAM
2 - 3
TRO
17%
27%
56%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
GAM
1 - 1
COL
17%
29%
54%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1994 |
RIB
5 - 0
GAM
74%
18%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1994 |
ESC
4 - 0
GAM
85%
12%
3%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
CAS
3 - 1
COL
64%
24%
13%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
ESC
0 - 1
CAS
72%
19%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
CAS
1 - 2
RAC
27%
29%
44%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1994 |
SDT
0 - 2
CAS
24%
30%
46%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1994 |
AST
0 - 1
CAS
42%
30%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |