Gama vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 1
GAM
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
GAM
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 0
GAM
24%
22%
53%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 2
GAM
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
TUP
0 - 0
TOC
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
ITU
1 - 3
TUP
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 1
TUP
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TUP
0 - 1
AMF
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FUN
1 - 0
TUP
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |