Gama vs Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.4%
2.4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2004 |
GAM
2 - 3
PAL
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 1
GAM
12%
19%
69%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 3
GAM
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
GAM
4 - 4
BOT
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
GAM
3 - 0
ACP
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |