Gama vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 1
GAM
13%
19%
68%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
GAM
1 - 4
LUZ
82%
13%
6%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 1
GAM
9%
17%
74%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
GAM
3 - 1
SAN
89%
8%
2%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
GAM
2 - 3
PAL
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
SER
2 - 2
BRA
25%
24%
52%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 3
BRA
9%
18%
74%
|
66 | 23 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 0
LUZ
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |