Gama vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
GAM
12%
18%
70%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 0
TAG
29%
23%
48%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 4
PAR
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 0
GAM
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
GAM
3 - 2
BRA
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAP
4 - 1
BRA
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 2
SED
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |