Copa do Brasil . 1/64
Global 3-3
Gama vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 1
PAY
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 0
GAM
69%
19%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 1
LUZ
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 2
APA
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
APA
1 - 3
GAM
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ABC
4 - 0
ARN
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ARN
3 - 3
ABC
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARN
15%
23%
62%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 1
GLO
73%
17%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
POT
1 - 1
ARN
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |