Galvez EC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
68.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galvez EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 8
GAL
14%
18%
68%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GAL
2 - 1
NAU
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
GAL
1 - 3
ABC
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 0
GAL
28%
21%
51%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 1
GAL
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 1
VIL
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
GRE
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
JAR
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ANA
0 - 0
VIL
18%
24%
59%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |