U21 EC Qualifying Ronda de clasificación round 17

Gales U21 vs Rumanía U21 analysis

Gales U21 Rumanía U21
56 ELO 69
-5.1% Tilt 4.3%
3501º General ELO ranking 2059º
21º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
28.9%
Gales U21
25.1%
Draw
46%
Rumanía U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
Wales U21
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46%
Win probability
Romania U21
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Wales U21
Romania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wales U21
Wales U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2008
WAL
Wales U21
0 - 2
England U21
ENG
19%
24%
57%
57 78 21 0
26 Mar. 2008
BIH
Bosnia and Herzegovina U21
1 - 2
Wales U21
WAL
41%
24%
35%
57 52 5 0
05 Feb. 2008
MLT
Malta U21
0 - 4
Wales U21
WAL
24%
24%
53%
57 39 18 0
20 Nov. 2007
WAL
Wales U21
4 - 2
France U21
FRA
14%
22%
64%
54 83 29 +3
17 Nov. 2007
WAL
Wales U21
4 - 0
Bosnia and Herzegovina U21
BIH
43%
25%
32%
53 54 1 +1

Matches

Romania U21
Romania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2008
NIR
Northern Ireland U21
1 - 3
Romania U21
ROU
24%
24%
52%
68 51 17 0
04 Feb. 2008
MDA
Moldova U21
0 - 0
Romania U21
ROU
19%
23%
58%
68 51 17 0
16 Nov. 2007
ROU
Romania U21
4 - 0
Malta U21
MLT
74%
17%
9%
68 38 30 0
16 Oct. 2007
ROU
Romania U21
0 - 0
France U21
FRA
21%
26%
53%
68 83 15 0
11 Sep. 2007
ROU
Romania U21
3 - 0
Bosnia and Herzegovina U21
BIH
61%
22%
17%
67 55 12 +1