Wales U21 vs Scotland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
WLS
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
AUT
2 - 0
WLS
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
WLS
2 - 0
GIB
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WLS
0 - 1
NLD
10%
17%
73%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
WLS
1 - 1
BGR
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SCT
2 - 3
SWE
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
SCT
1 - 2
ISL
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCT
1 - 1
NIR
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
NIR
1 - 3
SCT
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
DNK
1 - 1
SCT
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |