FA Trophy . 1/256
Global 0-3
Gainsborough Trinity vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
GAI
0 - 1
SCA
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 0
GAI
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
HYD
1 - 3
GAI
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
GAI
3 - 2
BAS
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GAI
1 - 2
BLY
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 0
KET
11%
17%
72%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 3
RED
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BAN
0 - 0
TAM
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 2
ROY
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LOW
1 - 3
TAM
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |