Gagra vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
WIT
0 - 4
GAG
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
GAG
3 - 0
SIO
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2020 |
MET
0 - 3
GAG
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
GAG
2 - 3
SHE
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
ADU
0 - 0
GAG
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 0
ADU
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
WIT
0 - 0
SAM
51%
26%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 0
ZUG
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
SIO
2 - 2
SAM
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 1
SHU
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |