Gagra vs Mertskhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
MES
2 - 0
GAG
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
GAG
2 - 6
SAP
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 3
GAG
55%
23%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
GAG
2 - 0
BET
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
GAG
3 - 0
DIN
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
SKU
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 1
MER
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
KOL
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
DIN
0 - 3
MER
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MES
0 - 1
MER
57%
21%
21%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |