Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
61.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
74
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FTK
3 - 1
GAG
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GAG
3 - 5
DTB
15%
25%
60%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TEL
0 - 0
GAG
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GAG
3 - 4
SAM
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GAG
4 - 1
SIO
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Batumi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DBA
3 - 2
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 1
DBA
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
DBA
3 - 1
SAB
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DBA
2 - 1
SHU
79%
14%
6%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
PAK
0 - 2
DBA
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |