Gaflenz vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 3
GAF
19%
22%
60%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GAF
3 - 0
SPR
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GAF
3 - 1
MAN
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WAI
1 - 1
GAF
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 1
GAF
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 4
WAI
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
WUR
4 - 2
ARD
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ARD
4 - 2
LEO
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
KOT
3 - 0
ARD
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
STP
1 - 2
ARD
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |