Fylde vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
3 - 1
FYL
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BOS
1 - 1
FYL
32%
23%
45%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
CUR
1 - 4
FYL
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
FYL
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
FYL
3 - 3
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 2
CUR
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SPE
2 - 2
SOU
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 1
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GUI
4 - 2
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 1
ALF
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |